Here’s a brief update on this week’s stock market performance from LOM Financial : Read more:
Markets rallied strongly last week, with the MSCI World index gaining 2.86% and the S&P 500 gaining 2.95%.
The Brexit endgame is coming more into focus. Last week, the British Parliament passed the Spelman/Dromay amendment by a vote of 312 to 308. The amendment was a non-binding ruling to prevent a hard Brexit under any circumstances. Perhaps paradoxically, Prime Minister May whipped her party to vote against this amendment. Her rationale appears to have been to force the issue of the Parliament agreeing terms on the exit. While there is talk of putting the terms of an orderly exit up for another vote, it appears unlikely the vote would go through since the deal has not changed materially and there is less incentive for voters to change their position.
This brings us to the March 29th Brexit deadline. Britain is likely to request an extension to their exit as they attempt to come to an agreement on the exit terms with the EU. This would require the EU countries to unanimously agree to allow Britain to extend their membership, something Nigel Farage has been lobbying that they reject. If they were to reject an extension, Britain would default into a hard Brexit. The likelihood of that occurring are low but non-trivial. The more likely outcome would be an extension, which presents certain challenges since an extension beyond July 1st would mean Britain would be required to participate in the European Parliament election. At this point, it is unclear what a short extension would accomplish as Parliament is resolutely against the proposed terms. While the whole ordeal is rather taxing, the prospects of entering a hard Brexit have diminished (a good thing). JP Morgan was suggesting a 10% likelihood of a hard Brexit.
Boeing 737 Max
More headwinds facing Boeing as their 737 Max have been grounded in most developed countries. This is a major hit to the company, which was set to deliver over 5000 of the planes. A surprise move in which the FAA reversed an earlier position that the planes were airworthy, causing the company to continue to fall. Boeing is now facing an investigation by the Department of Transportation in to whether enough vetting had taken place prior to the 737 Max release.
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Here’s the latest market updates from CNBC:
- Shares in Japan, South Korea and Australia advanced in morning trade.
- The Wall Street Journal reported Sunday that the U.S. and China are “in the final stage of completing a trade deal,” with Beijing offering to lower tariffs on U.S. products in categories ranging from chemicals to autos.
Stocks in Asia rose on Monday morning following a report that China is offering to lower tariffs on certain U.S. products as part of a trade deal with America.
In Australia, the ASX 200 rose 0.58 percent in morning trade, with almost all sectors advancing.
US-China trade deal progress
The Wall Street Journal reported Sunday that the U.S. and China are “in the final stage of completing a trade deal,” with Beijing offering to lower tariffs on U.S. products in categories ranging from chemicals to autos. For its part, Washington is considering eliminating most if not all of the trade sanctions placed on Chinese goods last year, according to the Journal.
A summit between the two leaders could happen sometime in March, according to both Bloomberg and the Journal.
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Income-driven millennials will likely become multi-millionaire investors in the future. However, venturing into the risky world of investing can be a great challenge for the young generations. Nonetheless, the market sector has higher earning potential among other investment options, below are some of the many compelling reasons why the young demographics must invest in the stock market:
Apart from global economic growth, the rapid pace of technology advancement has transformed the way we trade stocks, today. Millennial investors can take advantage of the efficient trading tools such as cloud-based software and online trading platforms, developed to provide easier access to investors and keep track their investments anytime, anywhere.
Has a Variety of Safe and Profitable Investments
Alongside with Finance, the Tech sector has been one of the best-performing stocks in the market, for years. In terms of revenue, large companies like Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon are highly recognized as the most dominant tech stocks in the market. As they remain robust and successful despite economic crisis and uncertainties.
A Great Wealth Builder
Saving earlier for stable and financially secured golden years can be the best thing every millennial should learn. For instance, Warren Buffet, widely acclaimed as the richest business tycoon in the investment history was known to have built his fortune by trading in the stock market decades back until to date, following Benjamin Graham’s principles of value investing, according to Forbes.
Here’s an update for December’s Stock Market performance and global economic concerns from LOM Financial:
The month of December was once again dominated by troubling economic headlines ranging from disruptive global trade negotiations to disturbing U.S. central bank commentary. On top of the steady drum beat of what some are calling dysfunctional political behavior, the U.S. Government’s partial shutdown has added to the negative investor sentiment which has been building all year. Sliding stock prices over the last month of the year added to the fourth quarter market woes, notwithstanding a sharp equity market reversal on the day after Christmas. For the month of December, the S&P 500 declined by -9.03% and the MSCI World Stock index fell by -7.57%. These results capped an overall tumultuous year where the MSCI World declined by 8.19% for the period as a whole.
Since the U.S. and China met during the G20 meeting at the beginning of December, China has implemented multiple policies addressing major issues in trade war negotiations. China agreed to cut tariffs on more than 700 goods in sectors such as agriculture, pharmaceutical, manufacturing and materials. Despite the progress, most products will still be subject to the retaliatory tariffs until there is a breakthrough in the trade deal. Furthermore, China has drafted a law to prevent forced technology transfers, which is a main complaint by Washington. However, critics question whether the new law will be enforced successfully. U.S. trade representatives will travel to China in January for another round of negotiations and any update from their talk will likely affect markets early in the New Year.
Despite the ongoing risk market selloff in during the fourth quarter, the Fed still decided to raise the Fed Fund rate for the fourth time in 2018, to a range between 2.25% and 2.5%. However, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) did adjust next year’s projected base rate move downward to just two hikes, in the face of market volatility. However, Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell reiterated the plan for balance sheet runoff. As the Fed downplayed risks to the economic outlook, investors worry that a hawkish central bank will ultimately slow the economy and send markets into another tail spin. As interest rates continues to climb, consumers will feel even more pressure on mortgages and auto loan payments. Overall, businesses have begun to experience a higher interest burden.
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Technology stocks are extremely attractive for many investors, nowadays. Recently, Some of the world’s largest tech giants are listed on Forbes as the most-bought stocks in the tech sector:
Fund managers in the third quarter continued buying tech stocks, a sector that outperformed all others over the past five years.
The S&P 500 Technology SPDR returned 89.84% over the past half decade, more than double the rise in the S&P 500 index. Companies in the sector glided on innovations in the Internet of Things (IoT), cloud computing, artificial intelligence and consumer electronics.
Their ability to generate a profit spurred investor interest. The sector’s net profit margins expanded to 22.1% in the third quarter, their highest since FactSet began tracking data in 2008. It also saw all of its constituents report earnings above estimates.
Nevertheless, some wind left the sector’s sails in this year. It has achieved only a 2.53% gain year to date, making it the fourth-best performer in the S&P 500, though it beat the index’s decline of 1.38%.
Meanwhile, its valuations have fallen, potentially making it more attractive to some investors. GuruFocus calculates its price-earnings ratio at 27.1, significantly below its peak of 39.4 from June and its lowest since March. It has the fourth-highest price-earnings ratio of the 11 sectors in the index.
Analysts have attributed the sector’s drop to lower demand, trade uncertainty with China and overvaluation. Earnings growth is expected to reach 9.8% for 2019, according to FactSet, which in September revised its estimate up from 6.9% in June. Bloomberg data forecasts earnings growth for the sector at 9.7% for 2019 and 10% for 2020.
In the third quarter, the most investors GuruFocus tracks bought shares of the following tech companies: Microsoft, Apple, Facebook, Electronic Arts and Alphabet. This data was found using GuruFocus S&P 500 Screener.
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